Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 17:15
12.2341.9%
X2.8832.4%
23.6325.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Oviedo
DDWDDWLDDW
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Alcorcon
DDWDDDDDDD
1W 9D 0L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
0.50
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.10
Against
5.70
9.50
Total
7.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
0.70
2.50
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Oviedo attack
1.40goals per matchAlcorcon conceded0.70Matchup
Alcorcon attack
0.90goals per matchOviedo conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
1.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.70
9.50
Match total
7.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.00
Match total
6.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.30N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
35.80
Match total
34.80
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.30
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%37.5%-4.4 pp
Draw32.4%39.3%+6.9 pp
Away25.7%23.2%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS46.4%
Historical average
1.18–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-017.9%
1-117.9%
2-010.7%
1-010.7%
1-28.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.41–3.66
Average total9.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.548.2%
Over 9.541.1%
Over 10.523.2%
Over 11.519.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Draw FT62.5%42.7%–78.8% CI
Away FT16.7%6.7%–35.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal58.3%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals29.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away41.7%