Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 19:30
12.0844.8%
X3.0031.1%
23.8724.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
DDLWDDWDWD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Numancia
DDDDWLLWDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.00
Against
5.30
9.10
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.30goals per match
Numancia conceded1.50
Matchup

Numancia attack

1.30goals per match
Malaga conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.30
9.10
Match total
10.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.30
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
30.40
Match total
31.00

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.8%31.3%-13.6 pp
Draw31.1%42.2%+11.1 pp
Away24.1%26.6%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.514.1%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.191.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.4%
0-012.5%
0-110.9%
2-09.4%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.834.13
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI
Draw FT62.5%42.7%–78.8% CI
Away FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away58.3%