Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 17:15
11.7653.0%
X3.4227.3%
24.7319.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
WDDWLDLWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Oviedo
LWWLLLWDLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.40
Against
6.40
11.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.00
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.10goals per match
Oviedo conceded1.60
Matchup

Oviedo attack

1.20goals per match
Vallecano conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.40
11.00
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.20
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

18.10N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
34.80
Match total
32.60

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.40
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.0%60.4%+7.4 pp
Draw27.3%18.9%-8.4 pp
Away19.7%20.8%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.517.0%
BTTS39.6%

Historical average

1.550.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.8%
2-013.2%
1-19.4%
3-09.4%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.174.32
Average total10.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.560.4%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.537.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.1%38.6%–79.7% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals5.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away27.8%