Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 17:15
12.9931.1%
X2.8932.2%
22.5436.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
DLLWWDDLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Elche
DLWLWDDWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.40
Against
6.10
10.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

1.00goals per match
Elche conceded1.00
Matchup

Elche attack

1.20goals per match
Lugo conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.10
10.90
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.60
Match total
6.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
30.00
Match total
31.00

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.20
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%50.0%+18.9 pp
Draw32.2%22.2%-10.0 pp
Away36.7%27.8%-8.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.55.6%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.280.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
2-016.7%
1-211.1%
0-011.1%
1-111.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.724.39
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away53.8%