Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-07 · 20:00
11.5958.7%
X3.5526.3%
26.1915.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almeria
WLDWDWWLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Santander
DDDLDLLDLL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.90
2.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.00
Against
4.80
8.20
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almeria attack
1.70goals per matchSantander conceded1.30Matchup
Santander attack
0.60goals per matchAlmeria conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.80
8.20
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.10
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.40N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
31.20
Match total
32.60
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.60
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%60.0%+1.3 pp
Draw26.3%26.7%+0.4 pp
Away15.1%13.3%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS53.3%
Historical average
1.67–0.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-020.0%
2-113.3%
1-113.3%
3-113.3%
0-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.67–3.07
Average total8.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away50.0%