Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-07 · 20:00
11.5958.7%
X3.5526.3%
26.1915.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WLDWDWWLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Santander
DDDLDLLDLL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
2.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.00
Against
4.80
8.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.70goals per match
Santander conceded1.30
Matchup

Santander attack

0.60goals per match
Almeria conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.80
8.20
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.10
Match total
5.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
31.20
Match total
32.60

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.60
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%60.0%+1.3 pp
Draw26.3%26.7%+0.4 pp
Away15.1%13.3%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.670.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.0%
2-113.3%
1-113.3%
3-113.3%
0-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.673.07
Average total8.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away50.0%