Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 19:30
12.6335.4%
X2.8233.0%
22.9531.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santander
LWDLDDWDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Alcorcon
DDDWDDDDDD
1W 9D 0L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
0.50
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
1.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Santander attack

1.50goals per match
Alcorcon conceded0.70
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

0.90goals per match
Santander conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
0%0/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
2.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.70
Match total
6.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
18.60N=10
34.30
Match total
35.40

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
3.80
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%32.4%-3.0 pp
Draw33.0%43.2%+10.2 pp
Away31.6%24.3%-7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.55.4%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.050.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-129.7%
1-018.9%
1-213.5%
0-010.8%
2-15.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.654.32
Average total8.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.1%
Over 9.535.1%
Over 10.529.7%
Over 11.518.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away45.5%