Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 19:30
12.6335.4%
X2.8233.0%
22.9531.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santander
LWDLDDWDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Alcorcon
DDDWDDDDDD
1W 9D 0L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
0.50
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santander attack
1.50goals per matchAlcorcon conceded0.70Matchup
Alcorcon attack
0.90goals per matchSantander conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
2.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.70
Match total
6.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.30N=10
Committed
18.60N=10
34.30
Match total
35.40
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
3.80
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%32.4%-3.0 pp
Draw33.0%43.2%+10.2 pp
Away31.6%24.3%-7.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.55.4%
BTTS54.1%
Historical average
1.05–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-129.7%
1-018.9%
1-213.5%
0-010.8%
2-15.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.65–4.32
Average total8.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.1%
Over 9.535.1%
Over 10.529.7%
Over 11.518.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away45.5%