Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 17:15
12.5536.6%
X2.9931.2%
22.8932.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mirandes
DDDWDWWDWD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Vallecano
DDDWLDLWDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.10
Against
3.80
10.10
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
1.80
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Mirandes attack

1.20goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.40goals per match
Mirandes conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.80
10.10
Match total
8.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.10
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
29.50
Match total
31.00

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.10
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.6%37.3%+0.7 pp
Draw31.2%39.2%+8.0 pp
Away32.3%23.5%-8.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.311.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
0-015.7%
0-111.8%
3-27.8%
2-15.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.104.31
Average total9.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.519.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Draw FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI
Away FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away35.0%