Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 20:00
12.2940.7%
X2.9132.1%
23.4327.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Elche
DWDLWDWLDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Malaga
LDLWLLDDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
0.80
20%
Over 2.5
10%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
0.60
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.80
Against
4.60
9.90
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
1.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Elche attack
1.40goals per matchMalaga conceded0.80Matchup
Malaga attack
0.50goals per matchElche conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.60
9.90
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.10N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
34.10
Match total
28.60
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.10
On target
2.70
14%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.7%48.5%+7.7 pp
Draw32.1%30.3%-1.8 pp
Away27.2%21.2%-6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS47.0%
Historical average
1.32–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.7%
0-013.6%
1-112.1%
2-110.6%
2-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.44–4.00
Average total9.44
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.542.4%
Over 10.530.3%
Over 11.525.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Draw FT48.3%31.4%–65.6% CI
Away FT13.8%5.5%–30.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals24.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.6%
Away37.9%