Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 20:00
12.2940.7%
X2.9132.1%
23.4327.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
DWDLWDWLDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Malaga
LDLWLLDDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
0.80
20%
Over 2.5
10%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
0.60
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.80
Against
4.60
9.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
1.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.40goals per match
Malaga conceded0.80
Matchup

Malaga attack

0.50goals per match
Elche conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.60
9.90
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
4.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
34.10
Match total
28.60

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.10
On target
2.70
14%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.7%48.5%+7.7 pp
Draw32.1%30.3%-1.8 pp
Away27.2%21.2%-6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

1.320.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.7%
0-013.6%
1-112.1%
2-110.6%
2-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.444.00
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.542.4%
Over 10.530.3%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Draw FT48.3%31.4%–65.6% CI
Away FT13.8%5.5%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals24.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.6%
Away37.9%