Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-01-26 · 17:15
12.2840.9%
X2.8332.9%
23.5626.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alcorcon
WLLDWWLLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Ponferradina
DDLDWDLLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.60
Against
5.50
8.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

1.10goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.40
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

1.20goals per match
Alcorcon conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.50
8.80
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.80
Match total
6.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

18.10N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
35.20
Match total
33.60

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%44.0%+3.1 pp
Draw32.9%40.0%+7.1 pp
Away26.2%16.0%-10.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS44.0%

Historical average

1.280.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.0%
0-016.0%
2-212.0%
1-112.0%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.404.40
Average total10.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.0%
Over 9.564.0%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away46.2%