Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-01-26 · 15:00
11.7453.6%
X3.4027.5%
24.9418.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almeria
WWLDWDWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Elche
WDLWLWDDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.40
Against
6.10
8.60
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almeria attack
1.80goals per matchElche conceded1.00Matchup
Elche attack
1.20goals per matchAlmeria conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.10
8.60
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.60
Match total
5.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.00N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
31.70
Match total
33.70
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.80
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.6%58.8%+5.2 pp
Draw27.5%21.6%-5.9 pp
Away18.9%19.6%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS49.0%
Historical average
1.71–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.7%
2-113.7%
1-09.8%
1-19.8%
0-19.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.08–3.86
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.527.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals6.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.8%
Away25.0%