Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 17:15
12.0146.5%
X3.1429.8%
23.9323.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Las Palmas
LWWWLDWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Tenerife
WDWLDLWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.50
Against
3.70
9.90
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Las Palmas attack
1.60goals per matchTenerife conceded1.10Matchup
Tenerife attack
1.40goals per matchLas Palmas conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.70
9.90
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.60
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.10N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
32.50
Match total
33.70
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.20
On target
2.80
13%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.5%49.1%+2.6 pp
Draw29.8%32.7%+3.0 pp
Away23.8%18.2%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS47.3%
Historical average
1.40–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.4%
1-116.4%
2-010.9%
0-010.9%
0-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.25–4.36
Average total9.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.523.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Remaining goals
0.87
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals26.7%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.7%
Away26.7%