Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 15:00
11.4365.2%
X4.0922.8%
27.7212.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Huesca
LWWDWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Lugo
DDDDLWLLDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
0.70
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.30
Against
6.40
9.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Huesca attack

1.50goals per match
Lugo conceded1.20
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.70goals per match
Huesca conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.40
9.60
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.70
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
29.50
Match total
30.60

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.80
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.2%90.9%+25.8 pp
Draw22.8%9.1%-13.7 pp
Away12.1%0.0%-12.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS36.4%

Historical average

2.360.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-027.3%
5-018.2%
2-118.2%
3-09.1%
3-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.823.27
Average total11.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.8%
Over 9.572.7%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals7.1%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away21.4%