Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 17:15
12.4937.4%
X3.0130.9%
22.9431.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ponferradina
DWLWDWDDWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Vallecano
LDDDWLDLWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
1.30
10%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.10
Against
3.80
7.60
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
1.80
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

1.10goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.30
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.40goals per match
Ponferradina conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.80
7.60
Match total
8.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.90
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
32.30
Match total
29.70

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.30
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%35.6%-1.8 pp
Draw30.9%44.4%+13.5 pp
Away31.7%20.0%-11.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS57.8%

Historical average

1.361.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-124.4%
0-015.6%
2-18.9%
0-16.7%
2-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.844.78
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT68.4%46.0%–84.6% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.2%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away47.4%