Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 17:15
12.7633.8%
X2.8133.2%
22.8333.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lugo
WDLLWWDDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Albacete
LWWLWWLWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.90
Against
5.30
10.70
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lugo attack
1.10goals per matchAlbacete conceded1.10Matchup
Albacete attack
1.00goals per matchLugo conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.30
10.70
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.20
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
19.00N=10
29.60
Match total
36.20
Shots
9.20N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.10
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.8%33.3%-0.5 pp
Draw33.2%37.0%+3.8 pp
Away33.0%29.6%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.514.8%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.22–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-129.6%
2-018.5%
1-211.1%
0-111.1%
1-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.81–4.15
Average total8.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.522.2%
Over 11.514.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.3%
Away60.0%