Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-01-15 · 19:00
11.4365.2%
X4.2921.7%
27.1513.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
DWWDDWLDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lugo
DDDDDLWLLD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.10
Against
6.30
11.70
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.40goals per match
Lugo conceded1.20
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.80goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.30
11.70
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.70
Match total
5.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

17.40N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
32.40
Match total
30.40

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.80
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.2%72.7%+7.5 pp
Draw21.7%18.2%-3.6 pp
Away13.0%9.1%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

2.360.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.2%
2-018.2%
1-19.1%
0-19.1%
5-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.643.27
Average total10.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.590.9%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away27.3%