Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-01-15 · 18:00
12.1443.6%
X2.9731.4%
23.7225.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alcorcon
LWLLDWWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Numancia
LDDDDDWLLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.90
Against
6.20
9.50
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

0.90goals per match
Numancia conceded1.50
Matchup

Numancia attack

1.30goals per match
Alcorcon conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.20
9.50
Match total
11.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.60
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.80N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
34.70
Match total
31.60

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.40
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%41.7%-1.9 pp
Draw31.4%47.2%+15.8 pp
Away25.1%11.1%-13.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.527.8%
Over 3.58.3%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.250.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
0-016.7%
2-013.9%
1-013.9%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.08
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away38.9%