Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-01-14 · 20:30
12.4737.9%
X3.2628.7%
22.8033.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Las Palmas
DLWWWLDWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Zaragoza
DWDWLLDWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.90
Against
4.50
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Las Palmas attack
1.80goals per matchZaragoza conceded1.30Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.40goals per matchLas Palmas conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.50
9.80
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
7.10
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
33.40
Match total
27.80
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.30
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%39.2%+1.3 pp
Draw28.7%23.5%-5.2 pp
Away33.4%37.3%+3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS51.0%
Historical average
1.33–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.8%
1-111.8%
1-29.8%
2-19.8%
0-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.69–4.27
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.541.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.87
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away46.7%