Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-01-14 · 19:00
12.0545.7%
X3.0430.8%
23.9923.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
DLDDLWDDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Ponferradina
LDDLDWDLLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.00
Against
5.90
9.50
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.10goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.60
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

1.30goals per match
Malaga conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.90
9.50
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.50
Match total
5.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
30.00
Match total
33.30

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.40
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.7%40.0%-5.7 pp
Draw30.8%36.7%+5.8 pp
Away23.5%23.3%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS43.3%

Historical average

1.400.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-020.0%
3-113.3%
1-010.0%
1-110.0%
2-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.403.97
Average total9.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal45.5%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away27.3%