La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 20:00
12.3938.9%
X3.7125.1%
22.5836.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
LWLWWWWWWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Ath Madrid
WDDLWLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.70
Against
5.70
10.70
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
3.70
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.30goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.30
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.40goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.70
10.70
Match total
10.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
5.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.10
Match total
21.60

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.10
On target
3.70
18%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.9%45.6%+6.7 pp
Draw25.1%21.1%-4.0 pp
Away36.0%33.3%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.543.9%
BTTS64.9%

Historical average

1.741.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
3-18.8%
2-07.0%
1-07.0%
0-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.165.56
Average total10.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.542.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals83.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away83.3%