La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-23 · 20:00
13.5426.2%
X3.9823.3%
21.8450.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DDWLWWLWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Barcelona
WWLWLWWWWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
2.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.20
Against
3.90
10.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
2.90
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.40goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.80
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.60goals per match
Valencia conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.90
10.00
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.50
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
26.40
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
17.90N=10
3.00
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.2%18.6%-7.6 pp
Draw23.3%33.9%+10.6 pp
Away50.5%47.5%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.081.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
1-211.9%
0-011.9%
0-310.2%
2-36.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.535.47
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

0.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal41.7%
2+ goals16.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away25.0%