La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-23 · 20:00
11.4663.9%
X4.6320.1%
25.8416.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWWWLWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DLLWDLLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.70
Against
3.70
10.50
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.40
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.50goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded2.00
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.30goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.70
10.50
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
23.70
Match total
24.20

Shots

18.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
7.80
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.9%59.7%-4.2 pp
Draw20.1%23.5%+3.4 pp
Away16.0%16.8%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.544.5%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

2.231.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.9%
1-09.2%
3-18.4%
2-17.6%
2-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.403.74
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=119.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Away FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away50.0%