La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-23 · 20:00
11.4564.7%
X4.3321.7%
26.9013.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mallorca
LWWLLWWWDD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Oviedo
DLLDLDLWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.60
Against
6.20
10.50
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
2.30
3.00
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mallorca attack
1.80goals per matchOviedo conceded2.30Matchup
Oviedo attack
1.20goals per matchMallorca conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.20
10.50
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
25.10
Match total
26.10
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.60
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches139
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.7%77.0%+12.3 pp
Draw21.7%12.2%-9.4 pp
Away13.6%10.8%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.7%
BTTS41.7%
Historical average
2.19–0.65
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.8%
2-014.4%
3-09.4%
2-19.4%
3-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.07–3.42
Average total9.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=139.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.522.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.4%52.5%–80.9% CI
Draw FT15.8%7.4%–30.4% CI
Away FT15.8%7.4%–30.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals23.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.3%
Away26.3%