La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-23 · 20:00
11.7453.8%
X3.6825.5%
24.5220.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
WWWLWLLLWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Sevilla
LDLWDLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
2.20
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.40
Against
4.60
7.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
2.20
3.70
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Celta attack

2.10goals per match
Sevilla conceded2.20
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.60
7.30
Match total
9.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
22.10
Match total
24.80

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.10
On target
3.60
19%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches832
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.8%56.5%+2.7 pp
Draw25.5%26.3%+0.9 pp
Away20.7%17.2%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.760.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.0%
1-012.4%
1-111.4%
2-09.6%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.014.03
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=832.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches248
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.8%38.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT39.1%33.2%–45.3% CI
Away FT16.1%12.1%–21.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.3%
Away37.1%