La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-23 · 20:00
11.7453.8%
X3.6825.5%
24.5220.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celta
WWWLWLLLWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Sevilla
LDLWDLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.60
2.20
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.40
Against
4.60
7.30
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
2.20
3.70
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celta attack
2.10goals per matchSevilla conceded2.20Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.20goals per matchCelta conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.60
7.30
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
22.10
Match total
24.80
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.10
On target
3.60
19%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches832
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.8%56.5%+2.7 pp
Draw25.5%26.3%+0.9 pp
Away20.7%17.2%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
1.76–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.0%
1-012.4%
1-111.4%
2-09.6%
0-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.01–4.03
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=832.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches248
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.8%38.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT39.1%33.2%–45.3% CI
Away FT16.1%12.1%–21.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals14.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.3%
Away37.1%