La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-23 · 20:00
12.4138.7%
X3.3128.2%
22.8233.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
LDWLDDDWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Vallecano
LLLLDDLLWD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.60
1.60
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.50
Against
5.40
10.60
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.40goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.70
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.60goals per match
Alaves conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.40
10.60
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.90
Match total
6.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
27.40
Match total
27.20

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches630
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%39.0%+0.3 pp
Draw28.2%26.2%-2.0 pp
Away33.1%34.8%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.321.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-011.3%
1-210.0%
0-19.0%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.48
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=630.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches201
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.8%27.6%–40.6% CI
Draw FT34.8%28.6%–41.6% CI
Away FT31.3%25.3%–38.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away51.7%