La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 18:00
12.3838.9%
X3.4826.6%
22.6934.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
WLWDWDWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Villarreal
LDLWLDLWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Against
5.60
11.20
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.70goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.50
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.00goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.60
11.20
Match total
8.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.10
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.40
Match total
26.00

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
6.10
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches327
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.9%38.5%-0.4 pp
Draw26.6%30.0%+3.3 pp
Away34.4%31.5%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS63.3%

Historical average

1.501.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
2-110.7%
1-29.2%
1-08.0%
2-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.044.90
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=327.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.2%23.5%–42.4% CI
Draw FT42.2%32.5%–52.5% CI
Away FT25.6%17.7%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals18.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.7%
Away52.2%