La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 18:00
12.1343.6%
X3.3727.5%
23.2128.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
DWWWDWWDLD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Valencia
LWLWLLWLDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
2.20
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.40
Against
5.20
11.00
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.60
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

2.20goals per match
Valencia conceded1.10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.20
11.00
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
25.40
Match total
22.90

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.40
On target
3.50
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,105
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%43.9%+0.3 pp
Draw27.5%28.9%+1.3 pp
Away28.9%27.2%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.511.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-010.3%
2-18.3%
2-07.8%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.38
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,105.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches337
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.1%29.3%–39.3% CI
Draw FT39.2%34.1%–44.5% CI
Away FT26.7%22.3%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.9%
Away46.6%