La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 18:00
13.0330.6%
X3.5026.5%
22.1642.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
LLWDDDLWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Real Madrid
WWWWLWLDWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
6.50N=10
3.70
Against
4.70
7.80
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.00goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.90
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.60goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.70
7.80
Match total
11.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.60
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
27.10
Match total
25.00

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.80
On target
5.20
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches538
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.6%31.4%+0.8 pp
Draw26.5%27.9%+1.4 pp
Away42.9%40.7%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS58.4%

Historical average

1.311.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.2%
2-28.4%
2-18.2%
0-17.4%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.695.29
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=537.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches146
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.9%16.0%–29.3% CI
Draw FT40.4%32.8%–48.5% CI
Away FT37.7%30.2%–45.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals44.5%
3+ goals19.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.8%
Away58.9%