La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 18:00
13.6925.1%
X3.5626.1%
21.9048.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oviedo
DDWLLWWDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Alaves
LLWDLLWDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
2.00
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.10
Against
6.00
8.70
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
1.40
Total goals
3.50
40%4/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Oviedo attack

0.70goals per match
Alaves conceded2.00
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.50goals per match
Oviedo conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.00
8.70
Match total
10.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.00
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
24.40
Match total
26.90

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.10
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches470
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.1%20.6%-4.5 pp
Draw26.1%27.9%+1.8 pp
Away48.8%51.5%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.5%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.021.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-111.5%
1-210.6%
0-29.6%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.675.35
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=470.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT15.7%10.9%–22.2% CI
Draw FT39.6%32.4%–47.4% CI
Away FT44.7%37.1%–52.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals46.5%
3+ goals20.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.6%
Away64.8%