La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 18:00
12.2042.2%
X2.9131.9%
23.5726.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
WLDLDDWWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Getafe
LDDWWLWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.30
Against
6.60
10.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.70goals per match
Getafe conceded0.90
Matchup

Getafe attack

0.80goals per match
Elche conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.60
10.40
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.00
Match total
7.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
16.70N=10
26.70
Match total
29.60

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.70
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches395
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.2%44.1%+1.9 pp
Draw31.9%31.9%+0.0 pp
Away26.0%24.1%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.516.2%
BTTS44.3%

Historical average

1.220.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.9%
1-113.2%
0-013.2%
0-110.6%
2-110.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.903.81
Average total8.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=395.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.1%
Over 9.539.5%
Over 10.528.9%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches152
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.6%24.7%–39.3% CI
Draw FT50.0%42.1%–57.9% CI
Away FT18.4%13.1%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.8%
2+ goals32.2%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.7%
Away39.5%