La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 18:00
11.7453.3%
X3.7424.8%
24.2521.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWLWWWLWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Girona
WWLDDDLDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.50
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.90
Against
5.50
10.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.80goals per match
Girona conceded1.10
Matchup

Girona attack

1.10goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.50
10.40
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
20.00
Match total
25.90

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.80
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches434
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.3%61.3%+7.9 pp
Draw24.8%22.4%-2.5 pp
Away21.8%16.4%-5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

2.001.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-111.8%
2-010.1%
1-09.4%
1-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.064.26
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=434.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches108
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.9%42.5%–61.0% CI
Draw FT32.4%24.3%–41.7% CI
Away FT15.7%10.1%–23.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals30.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away45.4%