La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 18:00
12.1543.1%
X3.1129.8%
23.4227.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
WLDWWLWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Celta
WLDDWDWLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.80
Against
5.60
10.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.30goals per match
Celta conceded1.20
Matchup

Celta attack

1.20goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.60
10.60
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
22.00
Match total
25.70

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
5.00
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.1%44.2%+1.1 pp
Draw29.8%31.8%+2.0 pp
Away27.1%24.0%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.381.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-012.6%
2-110.5%
0-09.0%
2-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.30
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,292.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.546.9%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.524.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches430
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.0%32.5%–41.6% CI
Draw FT42.1%37.5%–46.8% CI
Away FT20.9%17.4%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away41.6%