La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 18:00
12.1543.1%
X3.1129.8%
23.4227.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Bilbao
WLDWWLWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Celta
WLDDWDWLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.80
Against
5.60
10.60
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.30goals per matchCelta conceded1.20Matchup
Celta attack
1.20goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.60
10.60
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
22.00
Match total
25.70
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
5.00
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.1%44.2%+1.1 pp
Draw29.8%31.8%+2.0 pp
Away27.1%24.0%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
1.38–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
1-012.6%
2-110.5%
0-09.0%
2-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–4.30
Average total9.46
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,292.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.546.9%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.524.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches430
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.0%32.5%–41.6% CI
Draw FT42.1%37.5%–46.8% CI
Away FT20.9%17.4%–25.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.0%
Away41.6%