La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-14 · 20:30
11.2376.1%
X6.2814.9%
210.429.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWWWWLWWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Oviedo
LDLLDLDLWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
2.20
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.70
Against
6.30
10.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
2.50
3.40
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.50goals per match
Oviedo conceded2.50
Matchup

Oviedo attack

1.20goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.30
10.70
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.80
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
24.80
Match total
26.30

Shots

18.50N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
7.90
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches125
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.1%76.0%-0.1 pp
Draw14.9%17.6%+2.7 pp
Away9.0%6.4%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.544.8%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

2.460.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.8%
3-111.2%
2-08.8%
1-08.8%
3-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.123.21
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=125.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%38.8%–75.5% CI
Draw FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away41.7%