La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-14 · 19:00
12.0645.3%
X3.6425.6%
23.2129.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Girona
DLWDWLWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Sociedad
LDWDLWLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.30
Against
4.80
8.30
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Girona attack

1.20goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.80
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.20goals per match
Girona conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.80
8.30
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.40
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
23.40
Match total
26.70

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.40
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches180
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.3%42.8%-2.5 pp
Draw25.6%31.1%+5.5 pp
Away29.1%26.1%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.651.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
2-28.9%
2-18.9%
2-07.2%
1-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.924.22
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=180.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%21.7%–47.5% CI
Draw FT43.8%30.7%–57.7% CI
Away FT22.9%13.3%–36.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals47.9%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.4%
Away47.9%