La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-14 · 18:00
12.1743.0%
X3.3328.0%
23.2328.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DDDWLWWLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Vallecano
DLLLLDDLLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.10
2.50
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.30
Against
5.40
9.80
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.40goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.60
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.50goals per match
Valencia conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
90%9/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.40
9.80
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.20
Match total
6.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
26.50
Match total
26.70

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.00
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,236
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%43.4%+0.3 pp
Draw28.0%28.5%+0.4 pp
Away28.9%28.2%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.471.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-010.9%
2-18.7%
0-08.5%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.40
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,235.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches388
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.8%29.2%–38.6% CI
Draw FT39.9%35.2%–44.9% CI
Away FT26.3%22.2%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away43.6%