La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-14 · 18:00
12.1743.0%
X3.3328.0%
23.2328.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valencia
DDDWLWWLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Vallecano
DLLLLDDLLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.40
1H goals
1.10
2.50
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.30
Against
5.40
9.80
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valencia attack
1.40goals per matchVallecano conceded1.60Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.50goals per matchValencia conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.40
9.80
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.20
Match total
6.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
26.50
Match total
26.70
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.00
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,236
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%43.4%+0.3 pp
Draw28.0%28.5%+0.4 pp
Away28.9%28.2%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS51.9%
Historical average
1.47–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.5%
1-010.9%
2-18.7%
0-08.5%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.60–4.40
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,235.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches388
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.8%29.2%–38.6% CI
Draw FT39.9%35.2%–44.9% CI
Away FT26.3%22.2%–30.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals14.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.3%
Away43.6%