La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-13 · 20:30
13.0930.3%
X3.7525.0%
22.1044.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WLDWLDDDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Barcelona
WWWLWLWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.10
1.60
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
7.00N=10
4.90
Against
4.00
10.90
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.10
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.40goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.00
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.10goals per match
Alaves conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.00
10.90
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.00
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
28.80
Match total
21.40

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
18.70N=10
4.60
On target
5.80
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.3%26.3%-4.0 pp
Draw25.0%30.5%+5.5 pp
Away44.7%43.2%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.6%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.548.4%
BTTS80.0%

Historical average

1.621.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-215.8%
1-213.7%
1-110.5%
2-18.4%
1-37.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.955.76
Average total10.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.6%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.78

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away61.1%