La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-13 · 18:00
12.0944.8%
X3.2928.5%
23.5026.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WLWLWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Sevilla
DLDLWDLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.60
Against
4.20
10.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
3.40
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.30goals per match
Sevilla conceded2.10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.00goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.20
10.50
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.40
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
25.50
Match total
25.80

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.20
On target
3.20
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.8%46.0%+1.2 pp
Draw28.5%27.7%-0.7 pp
Away26.7%26.3%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

1.541.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.1%
1-116.1%
1-08.0%
1-28.0%
3-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.344.57
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=137.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.6%25.7%–53.4% CI
Draw FT40.9%27.7%–55.6% CI
Away FT20.5%11.2%–34.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.4%
Away54.5%