La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-13 · 18:00
12.0944.8%
X3.2928.5%
23.5026.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Villarreal
WLWLWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Sevilla
DLDLWDLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.60
Against
4.20
10.50
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
3.40
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Villarreal attack
2.30goals per matchSevilla conceded2.10Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.00goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.20
10.50
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.40
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
25.50
Match total
25.80
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.20
On target
3.20
17%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.8%46.0%+1.2 pp
Draw28.5%27.7%-0.7 pp
Away26.7%26.3%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS61.3%
Historical average
1.54–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.1%
1-116.1%
1-08.0%
1-28.0%
3-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.34–4.57
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=137.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.6%25.7%–53.4% CI
Draw FT40.9%27.7%–55.6% CI
Away FT20.5%11.2%–34.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.4%
Away54.5%