La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-12 · 20:30
12.5137.4%
X3.5126.7%
22.6135.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Osasuna
WDWDWDWDWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Ath Madrid
LWDDLWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.00
Against
5.40
8.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Osasuna attack

1.80goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.30
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.20goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.40
8.90
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
25.50
Match total
21.00

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
5.40
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches566
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%33.4%-4.0 pp
Draw26.7%30.4%+3.7 pp
Away35.9%36.2%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.291.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.3%
1-210.1%
2-19.2%
1-09.2%
0-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.83
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=566.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.4%23.9%–37.9% CI
Draw FT38.5%31.3%–46.2% CI
Away FT31.1%24.4%–38.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.0%
Away53.4%