La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-11 · 20:00
12.3040.5%
X3.3927.5%
22.9231.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
DWLWDWDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Girona
WWWLDDDLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.70goals per match
Girona conceded1.10
Matchup

Girona attack

1.20goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.60
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
24.80
Match total
26.50

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
6.00
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches751
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%41.4%+0.9 pp
Draw27.5%29.4%+1.9 pp
Away31.9%29.2%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS58.6%

Historical average

1.491.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-110.1%
1-28.8%
1-08.7%
2-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.55
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=750.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches211
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.6%27.6%–40.3% CI
Draw FT41.7%35.3%–48.4% CI
Away FT24.6%19.3%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.9%
Away49.8%