La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 20:00
11.6158.1%
X4.6520.1%
24.2821.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Real Madrid
DWWWWLWLDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.70
0.50
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
6.20N=10
3.80
Against
4.50
11.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.70
0.50
Goals conceded
0.80
3.40
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.90goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.80
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.70goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.50
11.60
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.30
Match total
3.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.40
Match total
24.50

Shots

18.10N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
6.90
On target
5.50
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.1%33.3%-24.7 pp
Draw20.1%41.7%+21.6 pp
Away21.8%25.0%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.421.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-016.7%
0-116.7%
1-116.7%
4-216.7%
2-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.083.75
Average total10.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%29.8%–62.0% CI
Draw FT30.3%17.4%–47.3% CI
Away FT24.2%12.8%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.6%
Away39.4%