La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 20:00
11.6158.1%
X4.6520.1%
24.2821.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Real Madrid
DWWWWLWLDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
1.70
0.50
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
7.80N=10
For
6.20N=10
3.80
Against
4.50
11.60
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.70
0.50
Goals conceded
0.80
3.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.90goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.80Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.70goals per matchBarcelona conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.50
11.60
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.30
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.40
Match total
24.50
Shots
18.10N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
6.90
On target
5.50
16%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.1%33.3%-24.7 pp
Draw20.1%41.7%+21.6 pp
Away21.8%25.0%+3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.42–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-016.7%
0-116.7%
1-116.7%
4-216.7%
2-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
7.08–3.75
Average total10.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%29.8%–62.0% CI
Draw FT30.3%17.4%–47.3% CI
Away FT24.2%12.8%–41.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.6%
Away39.4%