La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 15:15
11.7154.7%
X3.6725.5%
24.7319.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Bilbao
LWLDWWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Valencia
LLWLWLLWLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.00
Against
4.40
10.00
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.30goals per matchValencia conceded1.30Matchup
Valencia attack
1.00goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.40
10.00
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.30
Match total
23.70
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.00
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches897
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.7%56.2%+1.5 pp
Draw25.5%25.9%+0.4 pp
Away19.8%17.9%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS48.9%
Historical average
1.66–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.8%
2-112.6%
1-111.4%
2-010.6%
0-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.93–3.98
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=897.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches281
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.6%39.8%–51.4% CI
Draw FT39.1%33.6%–45.0% CI
Away FT15.3%11.6%–20.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals14.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.6%
Away36.3%