La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 15:15
11.7154.7%
X3.6725.5%
24.7319.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
LWLDWWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Valencia
LLWLWLLWLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.00
Against
4.40
10.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.30goals per match
Valencia conceded1.30
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.40
10.00
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.30
Match total
23.70

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.00
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches897
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.7%56.2%+1.5 pp
Draw25.5%25.9%+0.4 pp
Away19.8%17.9%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.660.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
2-112.6%
1-111.4%
2-010.6%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.933.98
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=897.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches281
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.6%39.8%–51.4% CI
Draw FT39.1%33.6%–45.0% CI
Away FT15.3%11.6%–20.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.6%
Away36.3%