La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 13:00
12.3240.2%
X3.4826.8%
22.8333.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mallorca
WLWWLLWWWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Villarreal
WLDLWLDLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Against
5.70
9.80
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Mallorca attack

2.00goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.50
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.20goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.70
9.80
Match total
8.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
24.70
Match total
24.90

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.60
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches574
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%40.1%-0.1 pp
Draw26.8%27.0%+0.2 pp
Away33.0%32.9%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.531.7%
BTTS60.8%

Historical average

1.491.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-210.6%
2-19.2%
1-08.7%
2-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.384.72
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=573.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches143
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.2%25.1%–40.2% CI
Draw FT37.8%30.2%–45.9% CI
Away FT30.1%23.2%–38.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals42.0%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.2%
Away49.0%