La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 20:00
12.4837.6%
X3.5526.3%
22.5936.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sociedad
LDWWWDWWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Betis
DLDLWWLLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.40
Against
5.60
11.00
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sociedad attack
2.10goals per matchBetis conceded1.60Matchup
Betis attack
1.10goals per matchSociedad conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.60
11.00
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.60
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
25.80
Match total
22.90
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.20
On target
4.70
16%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches339
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.6%37.8%+0.1 pp
Draw26.3%25.7%-0.6 pp
Away36.0%36.6%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS60.8%
Historical average
1.51–1.45
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
1-29.1%
2-18.0%
1-07.1%
0-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–5.01
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=339.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.534.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches87
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%27.4%–47.3% CI
Draw FT35.6%26.4%–46.1% CI
Away FT27.6%19.3%–37.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals19.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.3%
Away51.7%