La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 17:30
12.0845.0%
X3.4727.0%
23.3428.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWWLWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Celta
DWLDDWDWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.00goals per match
Celta conceded1.20
Matchup

Celta attack

1.10goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.10
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
18.90
Match total
25.40

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
6.20
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches463
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.0%40.8%-4.2 pp
Draw27.0%29.2%+2.2 pp
Away28.0%30.0%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS57.0%

Historical average

1.501.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
2-19.5%
1-08.9%
0-07.8%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.644.56
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=463.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%27.7%–43.8% CI
Draw FT39.8%31.9%–48.3% CI
Away FT24.8%18.2%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away46.6%