La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 15:15
12.0246.4%
X3.3428.0%
23.6625.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
WLLWDDDLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Espanol
WDLLLDLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.40
Against
4.90
7.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.20
2.30
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.20goals per match
Espanol conceded2.20
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.20goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.90
7.60
Match total
9.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.90
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
26.30
Match total
25.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.90
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches966
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.4%48.0%+1.7 pp
Draw28.0%26.6%-1.4 pp
Away25.6%25.4%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.450.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.0%
1-113.0%
2-110.0%
2-09.1%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.27
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=966.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches321
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT41.1%35.9%–46.6% CI
Draw FT34.9%29.9%–40.3% CI
Away FT24.0%19.6%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away40.5%