La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 13:00
12.2242.3%
X3.3228.3%
23.2029.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
WWLDLDDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Alaves
LLLWDLLWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.20
Against
6.20
9.80
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.90goals per match
Alaves conceded2.20
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.40goals per match
Elche conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.20
9.80
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
27.00
Match total
26.80

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.80
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches849
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%42.6%+0.3 pp
Draw28.3%29.4%+1.1 pp
Away29.4%27.9%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.461.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-010.5%
2-18.7%
2-07.9%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.57
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=848.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches246
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.7%28.1%–39.9% CI
Draw FT39.4%33.5%–45.7% CI
Away FT26.8%21.7%–32.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals40.2%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away45.9%