La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-04 · 20:00
12.3439.8%
X3.3527.8%
22.8732.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
LWLLWDDDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sociedad
WLDWDLWLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
4.80
8.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.10goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.80
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.50goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.80
8.00
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.00
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.90
Match total
25.70

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.70
On target
4.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches959
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%41.2%+1.4 pp
Draw27.8%28.1%+0.3 pp
Away32.4%30.8%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.451.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-09.5%
2-19.1%
0-19.0%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.444.78
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=959.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.534.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches301
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.6%26.6%–37.0% CI
Draw FT38.9%33.5%–44.5% CI
Away FT29.6%24.7%–35.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.5%
Away50.8%