La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 20:00
14.3021.7%
X3.8424.3%
21.7354.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Espanol
LWWLLLDDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Real Madrid
DDWWWWLWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.50
Against
4.20
9.90
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Espanol attack
0.80goals per matchReal Madrid conceded1.00Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.70goals per matchEspanol conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.20
9.90
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
5.20
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
28.50
Match total
22.80
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
4.20
On target
5.70
6%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.7%19.4%-2.3 pp
Draw24.3%23.1%-1.2 pp
Away54.0%57.5%+3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS59.7%
Historical average
1.13–1.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-214.2%
1-110.4%
0-29.0%
0-16.7%
0-36.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.32–5.67
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.532.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Away FT50.0%32.6%–67.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals17.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.9%
Away67.9%