La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 20:00
14.3021.7%
X3.8424.3%
21.7354.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Espanol
LWWLLLDDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Real Madrid
DDWWWWLWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.50
Against
4.20
9.90
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Espanol attack

0.80goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.00
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.70goals per match
Espanol conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.20
9.90
Match total
10.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
5.20
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
28.50
Match total
22.80

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
4.20
On target
5.70
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.7%19.4%-2.3 pp
Draw24.3%23.1%-1.2 pp
Away54.0%57.5%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

1.131.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.2%
1-110.4%
0-29.0%
0-16.7%
0-36.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.325.67
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Away FT50.0%32.6%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away67.9%