La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 13:00
11.7553.4%
X3.8124.5%
24.2422.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celta
LLWWWLWLLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Elche
LLDLLLLLLW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.60
Against
5.10
7.30
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
2.10
3.50
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celta attack
1.80goals per matchElche conceded2.10Matchup
Elche attack
1.00goals per matchCelta conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.10
7.30
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
22.50
Match total
27.80
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.80
On target
3.00
16%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches528
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.4%59.8%+6.4 pp
Draw24.5%22.0%-2.6 pp
Away22.0%18.2%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS56.8%
Historical average
1.88–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.5%
1-111.2%
1-010.6%
2-010.0%
1-27.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.00–4.09
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=528.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches134
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.3%40.9%–57.6% CI
Draw FT34.3%26.8%–42.7% CI
Away FT16.4%11.1%–23.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals51.5%
3+ goals25.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.7%
Away42.5%