La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 20:00
14.3521.6%
X3.9723.6%
21.7154.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Osasuna
WWDWDWDWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Barcelona
WWWWLWLWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
2.30
1.00
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
6.80N=10
3.60
Against
3.90
8.50
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Osasuna attack
1.90goals per matchBarcelona conceded1.10Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.30goals per matchOsasuna conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.90
8.50
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.00
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
25.80
Match total
21.80
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
19.50N=10
5.60
On target
6.30
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.6%21.4%-0.2 pp
Draw23.6%23.9%+0.3 pp
Away54.8%54.7%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS64.8%
Historical average
1.23–1.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-213.2%
1-112.6%
0-18.8%
2-17.5%
0-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.37–5.69
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.0%16.1%–46.6% CI
Draw FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Away FT32.3%18.6%–49.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.61
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals54.8%
3+ goals16.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.1%
Away67.7%