La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:15
11.7852.7%
X3.7724.9%
24.1922.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
WDDDWLWWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Ath Madrid
LLWDDLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.40
2.40
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.60
Against
5.80
9.70
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.50goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.60
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.10goals per match
Valencia conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
90%9/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.80
9.70
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.50
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
27.50
Match total
21.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.30
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches250
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.7%48.8%-3.9 pp
Draw24.9%25.6%+0.7 pp
Away22.4%25.6%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS59.6%

Historical average

1.711.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.6%
2-18.8%
1-28.4%
1-08.0%
3-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.034.46
Average total10.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=250.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.558.0%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%27.6%–50.6% CI
Draw FT49.2%37.5%–61.1% CI
Away FT12.3%6.4%–22.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals44.6%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away41.5%